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Men's Tourney Preview:
Road to Sweet 16


By
Micah Kushner
For Outsports.com

Albuquerque Region

 

Washington pulled off an unexpected No.1 seed.  Wake Forest, Gonzaga, and Louisville are ready to keep the Huskies from pulling any more surprises in the regional.

 

Favorites: 

 

Washington (27-5)

You can bet former Huskies football coach Rick Neuheisiel will have UW advancing deep in his bracket.  Washington sparkplug Nate Robinson, listed at 5-foot-10 but closer to 5-7, is the nation’s most spectacular under 6-foot dunker.  He keys the Huskies’ offense, the nation’s second best, averaging 87 points per game.

 

Louisville (27-4)

The Cardinals are hot, winning 18 of their past 19.  Francisco Garcia, one of only two active players named to C-USA’s Team of the Decade, has come up big down the stretch after a midseason slump.  In their final C-USA season, maybe the Cards can get the league their first national title as a going-away gift.

 

Wake Forest (26-5)

The Demon Deacons closed the regular season on a 10-1 roll, but played without point guard Chris Paul, who was serving a one-game suspension for a below-the-belt punch to N.C State’s Julius Hodge.  Paul’s presence will be needed when he resumes play after an 11-day absence. 

 

Gonzaga (25-4)

The Cinderella Zags? Please! Gonzaga earned its seventh straight NCAA bid and its eighth consecutive 20 win season.  Bruising 6-foot8- forward Ronny Turiaf  (who has games of 33 and 40 points) and 6-foot-8 forward Adam Morrison are offensive catalysts, but sophomore point guard Derek Raivio makes the Bulldogs go.

 

Key Players:

 

Adam Morrison, Gonzaga.  Otherwise known as The Next Larry Bird.  Off-the-charts I.Q.  Sensational passer.  Old-fashioned stripped socks and floppy hair.

 

Chris Paul, Wake Forest.  In the open floor, he’s an expert decision-maker and passer.  He’s going to be a sensational pro.  But for now, the Final Four is his preferred destination.

 

Tiras Wade, Louisiana Lafayette.  Was the Sunbelt newcomer of the year and tournament MVP.  Wade, who averaged 20.1 points per game, might be the best unknown player in the region.  Wade has the uncanny ability to take a game over at any point.

 

Nate Robinson, Washington.  A 5-9 guard who plays much, much, much bigger.  Spud Webb-like, able to leap taller players in a single bound and dunk over them.

 

Sleepers:

 

UCLA (18-10)

Ben Howland has UCLA back in the tournament after the Bruins’ string of 14 consecutive NCAA finishes ended in 2002.  This is Howland’s third school he’s taken dancing.  If Jordan Farmer (Pac-10 Freshman of the Year), Arron Affialo and Josh Shipp get on a roll, upsets could be a Bruin for UCLA.

 

George Washington (22-7)

The lightning-quick Colonials, primed for a big season after returning their top seven scorers from an NIT team, ended a 29-year drought and won their first Atlantic-10 Tournament, beating St. Joseph’s 76-67 in the final.

 

Picks for Sweet 16

No.1 Washington vs. No.4 Louisville

No.2 Wake Forest vs. No.3 Gonzaga

 

 

Austin Region

 

J.J Redick, the MVP of the ACC tournament, and his Duke team were able to hold off Georgia Tech to win another title Sunday.  Among those in the region ready to challenge the Devils: Kentucky, Oklahoma, Syracuse, and Michigan State.

 

Favorites:

Duke (25-5)

Duke was picked fourth in the ACC after Luol Deng (Chicago Bulls) jumped to the NBA and heralded recruit Shawn Livingston never made it to campus.  Still, the Blue Devils won their 15th ACC tournament title, tying North Carolina’s record total.  One concern: The health of defensive stopper Sean Dockery, out with a knee injury since Feb.23.

 

Kentucky (25-5)

Kentucky, as usual, is deep and talented.  Ten players are averaging 10 minutes per game, and none averages 30 minutes per game.  The Wildcats are the first Division I program to win 1,900 games.  But they haven’t reached the Final Four since 1998, Smith’s first season.

 

Oklahoma (24-7)

After a year’s absence, Oklahoma is back in the NCAA tournament.  Since ending a midseason three-game losing streak, the Sooners finished with a seven-game winning streak until Saturday’s loss to Texas Tech in the Big 12 semifinals.  A big key for the Sooners’ resurgence is junior Taj Gray, the Big 12 newcomer of the year. 

 

Syracuse (27-6)

Think the Orange might be due for a letdown after winning the Big East tournament?  Not likely.  Forward Hakim Warrick and guard Gerry McNamara are veterans of SU’s 2003 national title team.

 

Key Players:

 

Hakim Warrick, Syracuse.  A high-flying talent, known for his acrobatic dunks.  He was this year’s Big East player of the year.

 

J.J Redick, Duke.  Reddick, clearly the Blue Devils best player, can score from anywhere on the floor.  This dynamite shooter has a no fear of failure attitude.

 

Andrew Bought, Utah.  The 7-footer might be a No.1 pick.  Had farewell on Senior night (he’s a sophomore)  Some say passing skills make him the next Bill Walton.

 

Juan Mendez, Niagara.  Only player in national Top 10 for scoring (23.6) and rebounding (10.5).  Native of Montreal has 2,188 career points, making him NCAA’s all-time leading scorer among Canadian-born players. 

 

Sleepers:

 

Niagara (20-9)

The Purple Eagles are legitimate with 6-foot 8, 245-pound Juan Mendez and point guard Alvin Cruz.  Niagara suffered two consecutive losses to Manhattan in the MAAC Tournament final, including a one-pointer in 2004.  After a 34-year absence from the tournament, the Purple Eagles now have their sights set on a Sweet 16 appearance.

 

Old Dominion (28-5)

The Monarchs are paced by 6-foot-9 junior center Alex Loughton, an Australian who had 28 points in the 73-66 OT win against VCU in the CAA Tournament final.  The Monarchs are a very solid No.12.  Tom Izzo and the Spartans might be looking at an early return to East Lansing.

 

Picks for the Sweet 16

No.1 Duke vs. No.4 Syracuse

No.2 Kentucky vs. No.6 Utah

 

Chicago Region

 

Big Ten champion Illinois is the team to beat after finishing the regular season 32-1.  Just getting to the Final Four will be a challenge, however, with Arizona and Oklahoma State waiting.

 

Favorites:

 

Illinois (32-1)

The Illini rebounded nicely from their regular-season closing 65-64 loss at Ohio State, sweeping through to capture the Big Ten tournament and a No.1 seed.  The Illini feature a three-guard tandem of Dee Brown, Deron Williams, and Luther Head that will pose problems for any opponent. 

 

Oklahoma State (23-6)

With nearly the same lineup that reached last year’s Final Four, the Cowboys are poised to do it again.  The Pokes are senior heavy, led by Joey and Stevie Graham, John Lucas, Ivan McFarlin and Daniel Bobik.  OSU’s ultimate success, however, may depend on the outside shooting of freshman JamesOn Curry.

 

Arizona (27-6)

Since winning the 1997 title, the Wildcats are 14-7 in their past seven NCAAs.  The Wildcats enter this year’s tournament as one of the nation’s hottest teams, winning 15 of their last 18.  Watch out for guard Salim Stoudamire.

 

Boston College (24-4)

After opening the season with 20 consecutive wins, the Eagles have struggled down the stretch.  They earned the program’s first No.1 seed at the Big East tournament but lost to West Virginia, 78-72, in the quarterfinals. 

 

Key Players:

 

Joey Graham, Oklahoma State.  Was a unanimous pick for All Big 12.  Graham is a versatile offensive threat who can score in a variety of ways.  Lottery pick in NBA draft.

 

Brandon Bass, LSU.  The 6-foot-8, 252-pounder became just the fifth LSU player since 1968 to earn SEC Player of the Year honors, joining Pete Maravich and Shaquille O’Neal.

 

Nick Fazekas, Nevada.  He’s the WAC Player of the Year, a smooth 6’11 sophomore center ranks 12th nationally in scoring (21.5 points per game).  Be forewarned, Texas.

 

Dee Brown, Illinois.  Leader of nation’s No.1 team.  Maybe the most electric player in the tourney.

 

Sleepers:

 

UAB (21-10)

The Blazers were able to overcome a late four-game losing streak and close with five consecutive victories before losing to Louisville in the C-USA tournament semifinals.  UAB pulled off one of the biggest shockers last year, eliminating No.1 seed Kentucky.  The Blazers’ pressing and up-tempo style, led by twins Donell and Ronell Taylor, can give teams fits.

 

UW-Milwaukee (24-5)

The Panthers went 14-2 in the Horizon League, winning by a four-game margin but needed a free throw from Adrian Tigert with 4.2 seconds remaining to escape Detroit 59-58 in the Horizon Tournament final.  Senior guard Ed McCants, who might have an NBA future, leads the offense.  The Panthers have won 17 of their past 18 games.

 

Picks for Sweet 16

No.1 Illinois vs. No.4 Boston College

No.2 Oklahoma State vs. No.3 Arizona

 

Syracuse Region

 

North Carolina slipped in the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament but retained a No.1 seeding.  And look what lies ahead: Defending national champ Connecticut, Kansas, and red-hot Florida are in the same regional.

 

Favorites:

 

North Carolina (27-4)

UNC won its first outright regular-season title since 1993, when it last won a national title.  Roy Williams seeks his first NCAA championship as a head coach after going to a quartet of Final Fours with Kansas.  UNC, which once made 13 straight Sweet 16 trips under Dean Smith, hasn’t made it past the first weekend since 2000.

 

Connecticut (22-7)

On Jan.30, the Huskies were 4-3 in the Big East following a 78-74 loss to Notre Dame, but they rallied to finish in a first-place regular season tie with Boston College by winning nine of their next 10 (losing 77-70 to North Carolina). The Huskies suspended backup point guard Antonio Kellogg on Monday, for what was deemed “violation of team policy.”  UConn begins the task of defending the program’s second national title.

 

Kansas (23-6)

Since starting 20-1, the Jayhawks have been rocked, losing five of their past eight contests.  Kansas was without senior guard Keith Langford in the Big 12 Tournament and has had to lean on Big 12 Player of the Year Wayne Simien ever more.  With a healthy Langford, Bill Self could become the sixth KU coach to reach the final four.

 

Florida (23-7)

The Gators are coming off two wins against Kentucky in a week and their first SEC Tournament championship.  Now it’s time for that other tournament, the NCAA, where Florida is 2-4 since reaching the 2000 championship game.  UF’s victories?  It beat Western Kentucky and Sam Houston State.  And it had first-round losses to Creighton and Manhattan.  This might be UF’s best chance to make a serious run before they lose senior David Lee, and juniors Matt Walsh and Anthony Roberson make a leap to the NBA.

 

Key Players:

 

Wayne Simien, Kansas.  Simply Unstoppable force who averages 19.4 points per game.  This year’s Big 12 Player of the Year.

 

Marcus Williams, Connecticut.  When UConn’s season nearly headed south Williams took over, averaging eight assists per game.  Twice, he had school-record 16 assists.

 

Danny Granger, New Mexico.  A wonderful talent who can take over a game.  The Lobos went to him continually in the Mountain West final against Utah.

 

Eddie Basden, Charlotte.  Has the talent to change a game.  Was C-USA’s Player of the year as well as Defensive Player of the Year. 

 

Sean May, North Carolina.  Final game against Duke, with an ACC regular-season title on the line.  May had 26 points and 24 rebounds.  Enough said?

 

Rashad McCants, North Carolina.  Has the potential to be the best offensive player in the tournament.  Missed the last two weeks of the regular season with intestinal disorder.  If he’s on he could carry the Tar Heels to the title.

 

Anthony Roberson, Florida.  Electrifying guard who can score in a variety of ways.  May forgo his senior season to enter the NBA draft. 

 

Sleepers:

 

New Mexico (26-6)

The Lobos are on a nine-game winning streak and have made a 12-game improvement from last season’s 14-14 mark.  Smooth swingman Danny Granger, who had a record 73 points in the MWC Tournament, led the 60-56 win against Utah in the Mountain West final with 28 points and 11 rebounds. 

 

Charlotte (21-7)

The 49ers appeared in line for a No.4 or No.5 seed until closing with three consecutive losses.  Led by C-USA Player of the Year Eddie Basden, forward Curtis Withers and guard Brendan Plavich, the 49ers can trade points with anyone.  How far Charlotte advances will depend if the 49ers make a commitment to defense.

 

Picks for Sweet 16

No.1 North Carolina vs. No.4 Florida

No.2 Connecticut vs. No.3 Kansas.