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Women's Tourney Preview

By Mike Bryant
For Outsports.com
The science of “Bracketology” has entered its yearly peak. As the NCAA tournament on the men’s side is certain to showcase some of the most exciting basketball in the history of March Madness, the women’s bracket is also buzzin’ as we enter the first two rounds of tournament play.

Parity in the college women’s game has grown plenty over the past few years and this season has shown no exception. Top-seeds Tennessee, North Carolina and LSU have fielded some of the best women’s teams in the past, but its upstart Michigan State, the fourth #1 seed, that looks to shake up that tradition. Tennessee and LSU split the SEC regular-season and tournament titles and look to settle the score in the Final Four in Indianapolis as they are considered by many as two of the favorites.  

The Top 16 seeds all have the capability to get to the RCA Dome for the “Big Dance”. Three-time defending NCAA champion UConn looks to prove they can still win in the tournament post-Diana Taurasi. The Big 12 and Big 10 conferences both host multiple heavyweights that all have the talent to go deep in the tournament. Baylor (conference champion), Texas, Kansas State and Texas Tech battled each other in the Big 12, while Minnesota and Penn State watched their Big 10 counterparts Ohio State and Michigan State share the regular-season title before the Spartans came out on top in the conference tournament. The Stanford Cardinal will be hungry as well after winning both conference and tournament titles in the Pac-10, which led to their recent climb to the #1 ranking in the national polls. The remaining teams in the top-16 are Duke, Notre Dame and Rutgers and all three are poised, very athletic, and are led by great coaches and strong traditions. 

It wouldn’t be March Madness if we didn’t have upsets throughout the bracket. TCU, Temple, Arizona State, Vanderbilt, Florida State, Georgia, DePaul, Purdue and Oklahoma are the teams most likely to make things interesting during the early rounds. 

Chattanooga Regional

Top 4 Seeds: LSU, Duke, Texas, Penn State 

The top-seeded LSU Tigers look to be the frontrunners in the Chattanooga Regional. Led by superstar junior Seimone Augustus and lightning quick point guard Temeka Johnson, LSU has Final Four experience after advancing to the national semi-finals in 2004 before bowing to Tennessee by two points. Add 6-5 freshman phenom Sylvia Fowles to the low post and LSU has one of the most formidable attacks in women’s college hoops. Looking to knock off the Tigers in this region are the Duke Blue Devils and the Texas Longhorns. Duke has been so close reaching the Sweet 16 each of the past seven years. Seeking to get back to the Final Four this season after appearances in 1999, 2002 and 2003, Duke is led by Monique Currie, one of the country’s most explosive players. She will look for help from teammates Wanisha Smith, Jessica Foley and Mistie Williams. Depth has been a weakness for Duke, so these four must provide some long and productive minutes. For Texas, super-sophomore Tiffany Jackson has been the Longhorn’s primary offensive threat all season. Senior Jamie Carey can hit from long range having knocked down 65 three pointers on the season. She provides great leadership with tons of playoff experience behind her. Heather Schreiber and Kala Bowers round out a balanced Texas line-up. A big key for Texas will be the play of point guard and floor-general Nina Norman. Many of Texas’ key players experienced a Final Four run in 2003 before a surprising loss ended their tournament play early last season. Experience should be a big factor for the Longhorns this year.

Other contenders in this region: Penn State & Georgia

Sleepers who could upset: Oklahoma & DePaul 

 

Players to watch –

Seimone Augustus, LSU (20.1 ppg)
Temeka Johnson (10.0 ppg, 7.5 apg)
Monique Currie, Duke (17.6 ppg)
Tiffany Jackson, Texas (17.6 ppg, 8.7 rpg)
Dee-Dee Wheeler, Arizona (17.8 ppg)
Tasha Humphrey, Georgia (19.1 ppg)
Tanisha Wright, Penn State (19.3 ppg)
Khara Smith, DePaul (18.4 ppg, 11.8 rpg) 

Tempe Regional

Top 4 Seeds: North Carolina, Baylor, Minnesota, Notre Dame 

North Carolina, which won the national title in 1994, will have to travel clear across the country in order to start their quest for another. However, that shouldn’t slow the attack the Tar Heels bring to the court every night. Led by 5-6 dynamo Ivory Latta, UNC is outscoring opponents by over 21 points a game. Freshman forward Erlana Larkins has played like a veteran all season in the paint and will need to continue if North Carolina is to get by the post-dominated Baylor Bears in the deciding game for a trip to the Final Four. Baylor’s post duo, Sophia Young and Steffanie Blackmon, contribute the most to the Bear’s offensive production. Both are very active on the blocks at both ends of the floor. If Baylor can extend defenses from the perimeter, their post play will shine. Minnesota and Notre Dame are two other teams that have great post play. Minnesota’s Janel McCarville is one of the most formidable low block players in the country and had a breakout season last year as the Golden Gophers made a late run to get to the national semi-finals where they lost to eventual champion Connecticut. Guards Shannon Schonrock, Kelly Roysland and Shannon Bolden, along with forwards Liz Podominick and Jamie Broback, return from last year’s Final Four team and know what it takes to win in big games. For Notre Dame, senior forward Jacqueline Batteast has been considered one of the nation’s premiere players for most of her collegiate career. She will need help in the paint from Teresa Borton, Crystal Erwin and Courtney LaVere to relieve defensive pressure. Notre Dame won the national title in 2001. 

Other contenders in this region: TCU & Arizona State

Sleepers who could upset: UC Santa Barbara 

 

Players to Watch –

Janel McCarville, Minnesota (16.8 ppg, 10.6 rpg)
Sandora Irvin, TCU (20.1 ppg, 12.0 rpg, 4.5 bpg)
Kristen Mann, UC Santa Barabara (19.5 ppg, 9.7 rpg)
Sophia Young, Baylor (17.4 ppg, 9.4 rpg)
Steffanie Blackmon, Baylor (15.7 ppg, 8.4 rpg
Ivory Latta, North Carolina (16.9 ppg, 4.5 apg)
Erlana Larkins, North Carolina (15.1 ppg, 7.1 rpg)
Jacqueline Batteast, Notre Dame (17.1 ppg, 6.5 rpg)  
 

Philadelphia Regional

Top 4 Seeds: Tennessee, Ohio State, Rutgers, Texas Tech 

The Lady Vols of Tennessee return to this season’s NCAA tournament with the bulk of last year’s runner-up squad. Head Coach Pat Summit, who has led Tennessee to multiple national titles (1987, 1989, 1991, 1996, 1997, 1998), goes very deep into her bench which is a big bonus for teams heading into the NCAA tournament. Senior forward Shyra Ely is the leading scorer of Tennessee’s balanced offensive attack. Shanna Zolman and Brittany Jackson are two of the SEC’s deadliest shooters, while forwards Tye’sha Fluker, Nicky Anosike and Sidney Spencer provide great size and physical play in the post. Senior point guard Loree Moore has run the show for Tennessee throughout her entire career and will look to lead her team back to the national finals. Tennessee is one of two teams (Louisiana Tech is the other) to participate in all 24 NCAA Division I women’s basketball tournaments. Coach Summit is looking to surpass Dean Smith’s all-time NCAA win record of 879 victories during the 1st and 2nd round of tournament action. Ohio State has vaulted onto the national spotlight ever since sophomore post Jessica Davenport arrived on campus. Davenport is considered one of the most imposing forces in the paint and has led the Buckeye’s at both ends of the court converting nearly 60 percent of her shot attempts while blocking 109 shots. Guards Caity Matter and Brandie Hoskins compliment each other well on the perimeter, Matter knocking down 66 treys on the year, while Hoskins can penetrate and create her own shots in the Buckeye’s offensive system.  

Other contenders in this region: Texas Tech & Rutgers

Sleepers who could upset: Purdue, Temple & Louisiana Tech 

 

Players to Watch –

Jessica Davenport, Ohio State (19.3 ppg, 9.1 rpg, 3.4 bpg)
Caity Matter, Ohio State (13.4 ppg)
Tasha Crain, Louisiana Tech (18.2 ppg)
Shay Doron, Maryland (17.6 ppg)
Cappie Pondexter, Rutgers (13.1 ppg)
Shyra Ely, Tennessee (14.5 ppg, 6.9 rpg)
Mandi Moore, New Mexico (6.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 5.1 apg)
Cisti Greenwalt, Texas Tech (13.1 ppg, 9.0 rpg)
Erin Grant, Texas Tech (8.1 ppg, 6.9 apg)
Candice Dupree, Temple (16.3 ppg, 9.0 rpg) 

Kansas City Regional

Top 4 Seeds: Michigan State, Stanford, Connecticut, Kansas State 

The Kansas City regional could be considered the toughest and most balanced of the four. Any of the top four seeds could advance to Indianapolis as each is loaded with talent. Michigan State is led by Liz Shimek, Lindsay Bowen, Kelli Roehrig and Kristin Haynie and battled to the top of a tough Big 10 conference. Lack of late tournament experience could be the biggest test for the Spartans if they are to come up against the strong traditions of UConn and Stanford. The UConn Huskies had all eyes on them when the season tipped off in November as they were to embark on their first season without the services of Husky great Diana Taurasi. Geno Auriemma knows how to prepare his teams and even though his Huskies stumbled more than usual during regular season play, their tough schedule could make the difference in the end. Ann Strother, Jessica Moore, Barb Turner and Ashley Battle all played important roles in UConn’s string of national titles. Look for UConn to step up big with hopes to avenge an early season loss to Michigan State back in December. Stanford is led by Pac-10 Freshman and Player of the Year, Candace Wiggins. One of the most athletic and dynamic players in this year’s tournament field, Wiggins has done it all for Stanford this season. Stanford will go deep in the tournament if they can balance their strong inside game with good perimeter shooting. Seniors Kelley Suminski and Susan King Borchardt are very capable of hitting from downtown, while the trio of Brooke Smith, T’Nae Thiel and Kristin Newlin control the paint. Stanford’s depth should help carry them into the latter stages of the tournament. The Cardinal won the NCAA title in both 1990 and 1992. The Kansas State Wildcats, although a very streaky team, can be extremely dangerous. Led by the very steady play of senior forward Kendra Wecker, the Wildcats will need great defense and solid shooting in order to make up for their lack of a dominant post presence. Guards Laurie Koehn, Claire Coggins and Megan Mahoney can put up big numbers fast. Koehn has incredible range as she shoots over 40 percent from beyond the arc with more than 220 attempts. 

Other contenders in this region: Vanderbilt & Florida State

Sleepers who could upset: Utah 

 

Players to Watch –

Candace Wiggins, Stanford (17.3 rpg, 5.4 rpg)
Kendra Wecker, Kansas State (21.0 ppg, 10.1 rpg)
Kim Smith, Utah (17.8 ppg)
Ashley Earley, Vanderbilt (18.5 ppg, 9.7 rpg)
Roneeka Hodges, Florida State (19.0 ppg)
Kate Flavin, Richmond (17.4 ppg)
Ann Strother, Connecticut (13.1 ppg)
Charde Houston, Connecticut (11.1 ppg, 5.3 rpg)
Liz Shimek, Michigan State (14.8 ppg, 9.0 rpg)
Kelli Roehrig, Michigan State (13.7 ppg, 7.5 rpg) 

FINAL FOUR PREDICTIONS

Indianapolis

Semifinals: LSU vs. Baylor
Tennessee vs. Stanford