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Rob Rochholz
Rob Rochholz is a Fresno
State (TheOtherFSU) alum and San Francisco Giants
fan who works in graphic design and lives in San
Francisco. He's a former sportswriter at The Fresno
Bee, where he covered the WAC, Pac-10 and Big West
conferences. A fan of snowboarding and reality TV,
Rob correctly predicted in his August 2004
Outsports.com College Football Preview that USC
would defeat Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl some five
months later. |
Richie Weldon
Richie Weldon has been
following college football since 1995, his freshman
year at Virginia Tech. An avid Hokies fan, Richie
tries not to let that influence his opinions on
other teams (most of the time). Seattle is the place
he calls home now, and almost every Saturday during
the fall he gets together with other Hokies to watch
the games. Richie is a software developer. |
Micah Kushner
Micah Kushner is a Mass
Communications student at the University of South
Florida in Tampa. A regular contributor to
Outsports.com, this is Micah's first time providing
his college football expertise. He is a member of
the Tampa Fusion, which participate in the Suncoast
Softball League. After graduation, he plans on
pursuing a career in Sports Broadcasting. |
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1.
USC
Can
anyone derail the Trojans dynasty? The schedule is
dicey because USC has to face each of its top three
Pac-10 challengers away from home. Also the road
game at Notre Dame and a late-season home date with
Fresno State are not as easy as they may seem.
Still, anyone looking to beat Matt Leinart, Reggie Bush and
company will have to spring a monumental upset. |
1. USC
Can
the Trojans three-peat? Unlikely, since it's not
happened in the history of college football, but who
else deserves this spot? Coach Pete Carroll is earning
his $3M / year salary. |
1. USC
Why
stop at three-peat? Pete Carroll and the Trojans
have enough talent to dominate for years to come.
The talent gap isn't closing and if anything the
Trojans have created even more separation between
themselves and the rest of the Pac-10. Whatever
system the BCS comes up with, USC is ready. |
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2.
Texas
The
Longhorns appear to have the experience needed for
not only a run at another BCS bowl, but also a
possible national title. The question, as always,
is this: Will Texas beat Oklahoma? This looks like
the year it’s going to happen. Mack Brown might not
even have to use politics to get his way this time.
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2. Tennessee
The
Vols are stacked, but have early roadies at Florida
and LSU. Get through the LSU game unscathed, and
the remaining obstacle to the Rose Bowl is Georgia.
At home! |
2. Texas
Anyone want to dare pick Texas to beat Oklahoma? The
Longhorns are loaded with more experience and
feature a gifted quarterback in Vince Young. In all
likelihood, that meeting will again decide the Big
12 South. |
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3.
Michigan
The
schedule shapes up nicely, the offense should be
better than ever, and the Wolverines get Ohio State
at home. Looks like a Big Ten championship season,
right? Well, Michigan has been down this road
before, but things look promising. |
3. Georgia
The
Bulldogs prayed to the scheduling gods and those
prayers were answered. The only tough game on the
schedule is away at Tennessee. That game will
likely decide the SEC East championship. |
3. Virginia Tech
The
Hokies, who won the ACC in their first season and
nearly upset Auburn at the Sugar Bowl, have a
difficult act to follow. But all the pieces are in
place for another BCS bowl appearance. |
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4.
Tennessee
If
the Vols can get through September
unbeaten, it should be smooth sailing the rest of
the way. Given the past several months, the key for
Coach Fulmer may be simply keeping his team out of
trouble. |
4. Oklahoma
Boomer Sooners ... another win over Texas is on the
way. |
4.
Tennessee
The
Vols return 16 starters that includes a wealth of
experience on both lines and two quarterbacks who
saw significant playing time in 2004. With the
emergence of RB Gerald Riggs Jr., this looks like a
team prepared to make a run at the division title,
the SEC title and, possibly, the national
championship. |
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5.
Ohio State
Even though the Michigan game comes on the last
weekend of the year, September will
tell everything about OSU’s season. The Buckeyes
get both Texas and Iowa in Columbus during the
opening month, and a pair of wins will do wonders
for the team’s confidence. |
5. Michigan
This is going to be a tough season for the
Wolverines. The only cupcake on the schedule is
Eastern Michigan. Fortunately Purdue is avoided.
There should be a lot of close games, especially at
Wisconsin, at Iowa, and home against Ohio State,
that will make for some good football watching.
Michigan, once again, will be the cream of the Big
Ten crop. |
5.
Iowa
The
Hawkeyes have become a top-notch program and
expectations are high. They have finished as one of
the nation's Top 10 teams for three straight years
and this season the Hawkeyes have a shot at winning
the conference title and heading to Pasadena. |
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6.
Iowa
With Drew Tate back and leading the way, the
Hawkeyes are a dark horse national title contender.
After last year’s dramatic bowl win, Iowa takes an
eight-game winning streak into the opener against Ball
State. Guess who’s going to win that one? |
6. Virginia Tech
The
Hokies are mad mad mad about the loss to the
Wolfpack last season. The opening game is going to
be tough, but there's no reason that Frank Beamer's
team cannot run the table and win the ACC two years
in a row. |
6.
Michigan
The
Wolverines could win nine of their first 10 games
but still call the season a disappointment if they
can't beat Ohio State in the regular-season finale
and then go on to lose their bowl game. That's what
happened last year, something that didn't sit well
this offseason. Lloyd Carr is determined not to let
that happen again. |
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7.
Miami, Fla.
The
Canes have an interesting schedule, facing both
rival Florida State and Clemson on the road to begin
the season. After that, it’s an array of easy games
until the Virginia Tech matchup on November 5. The
defense should be outstanding, but Miami will have
to win on the road to make this a great season. |
7. Ohio State
This just isn't going to be the year of the Buckeye,
but that doesn't mean the sky will fall. Jim
Tressel is a great coach, and his 78.4 win
percentage proves it, along with his national title
in 2002. A win over Texas is probably going to
happen, but a slip up at Minnesota and/or Michigan
will prove disastrous for any Rose Bowl hopes. |
7.
Florida
If
the offseason comes anywhere close to meeting Urban
Meyer's expectations, this should be a tougher, more
physical and more disciplined Florida team. The
Gators should be ready to contend for the SEC East
title again. |
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8.
Virginia Tech
We’ll know on Labor Day weekend if the Hokies are
going to be as good as advertised. The season
opener against a decent N.C. State team in Raleigh
will be a great test. The Hokies don’t play a
consensus Top 25 team until Boston College on the
last weekend of October. As always, the toughest
games come in November, which is generally a bad
sign for a Frank Beamer-coached team. |
8. Miami, Fla.
Larry Coker has another talented team, but a
November 5 meeting in Blacksburg makes it unlikely
the Canes will win the ACC Costal Division. |
8.
Ohio State
The
first two weeks will be quite telling. The epic
matchup with Texas is the kind of game hardcore
college football fans dream about. The defense
needs to hold Vince Young in check and then do the
same to Iowa's Drew Tate two week later.
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9.
LSU
Now
that Coach Nick Saban is gone, it’s hard to tell how the
Tigers will react. The schedule certainly broke
right for LSU. The Tigers don’t have a league road
game against a single team that finished with a
winning record a year ago. For that reason alone,
LSU is going to rack up victories in 2005. |
9. LSU
Only four road games this season? Now that's
impressive. Good enough for a Top 10 start to the
season, especially since three of the roadies are
against Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, and
Mississippi! |
9.
LSU
With strength and experience up front on both sides
of the ball and so much talent at the skill
positions, the Tigers appear to be the best bet to
win the SEC West if they can just make the
adjustment to new head coach Les Miles.
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10.
Oklahoma
The
Sooners lose a lot of talent this year, but Coach
Stoops always has more than enough high school
All-Americans ready to fill in. As long as Adrian
Peterson is healthy, Oklahoma is going to be very
difficult to beat. OU should be unbeaten when it
faces Texas Oct. 8. |
10. Iowa
At
Iowa State, at Ohio State, at Purdue, and at
Wisconsin. If Iowa is able to win three out of
those four and if Michigan slips up along the way in
Big Ten play (perhaps to the team from Iowa City!),
the Hawkeyes could win the Big Ten. But that's a
lot of "ifs" and I'm just not seeing it. |
10.
Louisville
Expectations are one thing. Reality is another.
This year's schedule will be more demanding and the
Cardinals have a lot to prove on defense before they
can be considered a serious contender for the
conference championship. But if things go well,
they will contend. |
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11.
Louisville
The
jump from Conference USA to the Big East couldn’t be
coming at a better time for the Cardinals. The
offense returns plenty of weapons though the defense
has some pretty major holes to fill. Still, a
watered down Big East probably won’t be too
difficult for Louisville in its inaugural season. |
11. Texas
Expectations, like everything else, are big in
Texas, but this Brown won't do it for you.
Seriously, when will Mack Brown finally win the big
game and earn his keep? |
11.
Miami, Fla.
While the roster isn't filled with first-round draft
choices as in the past, Miami has a very solid
defense and will compete for the ACC title. They
are in the same division as defending champion
Virginia Tech, however, and have to play the Hokies
on the road. They also must go to Florida State to
open the season. |
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12.
Georgia
The
opener – in Athens against a tough Boise State team
– is one of the most intriguing intersectional
matchups of the season. If D.J. Shockley has an off
day passing, I wouldn’t be shocked to see the
Broncos pull off the major upset. A Georgia
victory, however, will be a sign that the Bulldogs
could be in for a special season. |
12. Louisville
Did
anyone else notice the Big East just gave Louisville
a $13M paycheck? |
12. Oklahoma
Given all of the Sooners' personnel losses, it looks
like the staff is going to have to perform at its
best. Considering Oklahoma is 67-12 under Bob
Stoops, the chances are pretty good that adequate
replacements will be developed. |
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13.
Florida State
The
Seminoles don’t have to face Virginia Tech or
Georgia Tech during the regular season and they get
Miami at home. Bobby Bowden has to replace a lot of
talent on both sides of the ball and we’ll know on
Labor Day (vs. Miami) how things are going to work
out in Tallahassee. |
13. Florida State
Is
Bobby going the way of JoePa? Will the Seminole
fans settle for mediocrity now that Miami, Virginia
Tech, and Boston College are in the league? |
13. Georgia
Without QB David Greene, who had an NCAA-record 42
career victories, and DL David Pollack, the Bulldogs
are expected to take a step backward in the SEC
East. Adding to the relative pessimism: A series of
offseason arrests, suspensions and academic woes. |
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14.
Florida
Now
this is going to be interesting! Urban Meyer has
been on the fast track to success and worked wonders
at Utah a year ago. Now he gets a far more talented
team overall, and there’s no doubt that great things
are ahead for the Gators. The only drawback for
Coach Meyer? He’s no longer playing a Mountain West
schedule. |
14. Texas A&M
The
12th Man is back, along with winning seasons.
Firing RC Slocum after the 2000 season doesn't seem
like such a bad idea now that hindsight is 20/20. |
14. Pittsburgh
After winning the title in a watered-down Big East,
Pittsburgh should challenge a newcomer, Louisville,
for the league's BCS bid. The key question is what
changes will be made by Dave Wannstedt, the Pitt
alum and former NFL head coach. |
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15.
Boise State
The
Broncos, along with Fresno State, have created a
powerful 1-2 punch in the WAC, making it the best of
the non-BCS conferences this year. The Broncos and
Bulldogs meet on Nov. 10 in a Thursday night
ESPN showdown with a chance both could be
unbeaten. And that surely would create shockwaves
and nervousness throughout the BCS hierarchy. Boise
State (36-3 over the last 3 seasons) has won 26
straight league games, breaking the streak once held
by former league power BYU in the 1980s. |
15. Florida
Urban Myer has a lot to prove in a league that
counts. It's a good thing the Gators get two weeks
of warm-up games to start the season before the Vols
come to town. |
15.
Florida State
The
Seminoles are forced to go with a freshman
quarterback, but there's plenty of returning talent,
particularly in the backfield and at linebacker. FSU
should get an immediate read on things when Miami
visits for the Sept. 5 opener, trying to win its
seventh consecutive game against the Seminoles. |
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16.
California
The
Bears are practically rebuilding with the loss of
Aaron Rodgers and J.J. Arrington, but if anyone can
work miracles, it’s Jeff Tedford. After the
“strength of schedule” woes hurt the Bears a year
ago, it’s odd to see Tedford again go with a
non-conference slate of Sacramento State, Illinois
and New Mexico State. That won’t win any style
points. Cal trails only Texas Tech in the
“dishonorable mention” category for poor non-league
scheduling in ’05. |
16. Boston College
BC
will probably finish 8-4 as usual. Ho hum. Tom
O'Brien could be the most underrated, consistent
coach in college football. |
16. Texas A&M
The
Aggies have 17 returning starters and should be
ready for the next step, but it's a difficult
neighborhood in the Big 12 South with Oklahoma and
Texas. |
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17.
Auburn
The
cupboard isn’t bare, but the personnel drop-off
compared to last season is enormous. It’s not that
the Tigers won’t be talented, but the experience
level will be tested. Luckily, Auburn eases into
the season with an incredible five straight home
games to begin the year. Only two opponents on the
entire slate (LSU and Georgia) are in the preseason
AP Top 25. |
17. Auburn
I'd
be willing to put money down on Auburn losing at
Arkansas on 10/15 as the Tigers look ahead to the
road game against LSU the following week. "Hello
T.R.O.U.B.L.E...." |
17. Auburn
The Tigers were the 2004
BCS poster child. They swept through the SEC, but
were denied a shot to play for the national title.
And now? No Cadillac Williams. No Ronnie Brown. No
Jason Campbell. But Auburn still will play in a
January bowl. |
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18.
Fresno State
The
Bulldogs return 17 starters to a team that enters
2005 on a six-game winning streak, including a bowl
victory over Virginia. Giant-killer Fresno State
hopes to keep that reputation alive with a pair of
very tough non-conference games again -- Sept.
17 at Oregon, and the much-anticipated matchup with
USC in Los Angeles in November. The Bulldogs have
won three straight and five of their last seven games versus
the Pac-10. |
18. California
Cal
is much better than No. 18, but the Bears have to
prove it first. Playing at Oregon will be a killer.
If everyone stays healthy after that game, USC could
be in for a doozy the following week. |
18. Georgia Tech
The
Yellow Jackets could make their run at an ACC
division title. But there's a daunting schedule,
including the Sept. 3 opener at Auburn and three
road games against the ACC elite (Virginia Tech,
Miami, Virginia). |
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19.
Boston College
The
underrated Eagles enter the ACC with high
expectations thanks to a mostly veteran team,
especially on defense. The transition from the Big
East is made a bit easier by getting both Florida
State and Virginia at home. And it always helps to
schedule Army in September. |
19. Arizona State
Everyone should get to open its season against
Temple. |
19. Boston College
After barely missing an outright conference title
and a BCS bowl bid during its Big East lame-duck
season, Boston College could be an immediate
contender in the ACC's Atlantic Division. |
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20.
Arizona State
Defense is definitely the strength of the Sun
Devils, and that should be cause for concern for the
rest of the Pac-10 (aside from USC of course). The
problem for ASU, though, is that you have to score
to win, and the big question mark is on offense,
especially with an unproven ground game. If that
ever gets on track, watch out. |
20. Alabama
Are
you kidding me? Bama gets Florida, Tennessee and
LSU all at home this year? If the Tide can't win
two of those three and follow up with a win against
Auburn, Coach Shula should be canned but the AD
given a lifetime appointment! |
20. Purdue
While a new quarterback takes over, all the parts
are in place for another winning season. The
Boilermakers will concentrate on helping quarterback
Brandon Kirsch out with an improved running game and
a veteran defense that returns 11 starters. |
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21.
Texas A&M
The
Aggies started with a bang in 2004 before collapsing
and losing four of their final five games. Problem:
A&M closes the 2005 season with games against Texas,
Oklahoma and Texas Tech. If Coach Dennis Franchione’s crew
can avoid the late pitfall this time around, it
could be an outstanding year. |
21. Boise State
The
Broncos are now the best mid-major in the land. |
21. Colorado
The slow progress of the defense raised concerns for
the Buffaloes coming out of spring practice and this
young group will continue to experience growing
pains. Several questions remain, but there is no
good reason Colorado can't again compete for the
division title. |
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22.
Virginia
The
Cavaliers looked like a BCS bowl-bound team last
year, climbing to a No. 6 national ranking in
October. But by the end of the season, Virginia was
being pushed all over the field by the Fresno State
offense in its bowl game. Al Groh may have a shiny,
new long-term contract, but it’s time to win and win
big to keep Cavs fans happy. |
22. Oregon
The
Ducks were added to prove I don't have an East Coast
bias or a West Coast hatred. (The rest of my
comments about the Ducks were removed by the FCC.) |
22. Fresno State
The Bulldogs have a strong chance to be 8-0 when
Boise State visits. That's when the hype machine
will really crank up, and a win over BSU could
create an undefeated matchup Nov. 19 at USC. But
first things first: Boise State owns four straight
wins over the Bulldogs. |
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23.
Purdue
With lovable Democrat Kyle Orton now graduated, it’s
Brandon Kirsch’s team to take over. The Big Ten
title dream is alive and well, thanks mostly to the
fact that both Michigan and Ohio State are off the
schedule. Now how did that happen? |
23. Wisconsin
Secretly I want to be a cheesehead! |
23. Utah
Coach Urban Meyer has shuffled to Florida.
Quarterback Alex Smith was the NFL draft's No. 1
pick. Can Utah, last season's BCS-buster, maintain
its elite level? |
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24.
Bowling Green
One
of the nation’s most underrated QBs, Omar Jacobs, is
back for the Falcons after leading the country in
touchdown passes (41) a year ago. While Bowling
Green will face a strong challenge from Toledo for
the MAC crown, there are potential huge upsets
lurking as the Falcons take on Wisconsin and Boise
State. |
24. Texas Tech
If
the Big East decides to expand its football program,
perhaps Texas Tech could wind up in a conference
where it will win. The Big XII South is perhaps the
toughest division in all of I-A football. It's
great to see the Red Raiders play competitively, but
Big Brother Bevo and Aggie will deliver the smack
down this season. And it's a good thing that Cousin
Sooner comes to visit at the end of the season,
giving one last hope for a great victory. I said
"hope for,” not "outright victory." |
24. Minnesota
Head coach Glen Mason would like to see significant
improvement on the defensive side of the ball this
year. Minnesota ranked 75th in total defense a
year ago. That won't get it done for a
team that wants to climb the ladder and make it to a
New Year's Day bowl game. |
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25.
Oregon
After an off season in 2004, all signs point to the
Ducks returning to glory. There are tons of
offensive weapons, especially in the skill
positions, and the defense looks scary good.
Consecutive home games against Fresno State and USC
in September will set the tone for the season. |
25. Virginia
Does Al Groh really deserve a 5-year contract
extension? It's unlikely that Virginia will finish
higher than third in the ACC Costal Division.
J-E-T-S, JETS JETS JETS! |
25. Bowling Green
The
Falcons don't want to put too much pressure on
quarterback Omar Jacobs, but he's certainly the key
to any success the team is going to have. If Jacobs
can even come close to repeating last year's
performance, Bowling Green will be in the running
for the MAC title. |
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