| By
Richie Weldon
Richie
Weldon has been following college football since
1995, his freshman year at Virginia Tech. An avid
Hokies fan, Richie tries not to let that influence
his opinions on other teams (most of the time).
Seattle is the place he calls home now, and almost
every Saturday during the fall he gets together with
other Hokies to watch the games. Richie is a
software developer. |
By
Rob Rochholz
Rob
Rochholz is a Fresno State (TheOtherFSU) alum and
San Francisco Giants fan who works in graphic design
and lives in San Francisco. He's a former
sportswriter at The Fresno Bee, where he covered the
WAC, Pac-10 and Big West conferences. |
| 1. USC
Who could possibly pick
against the Trojans this year? They’re loaded with
talent, have a favorable schedule, a suffocating
defense, and one of the best coaches in the game.
The Oregon Ducks have the best chance of wreaking havoc
in the land of Troy on Oct. 27; The Trojans must play
in Eugene after a trip to South Bend. (Sorry Golden Domers, but you won’t beat a Pete Carroll coached
team with a freshman QB and only five returning
starters on defense.) |
1. USC
Many people, including
me, thought USC was the best team in the country a
year ago. One win away from playing for the national
title, the Trojans laid a giant egg against UCLA.
This season looks to be one about redemption, and I
think USC has what it takes to get it done. The
schedule is brutal and you have to admire a program
that schedules non-conference road tilts at Nebraska
and Notre Dame. |
| 2. LSU
As it stands now on
paper, the Bengal Banded Baton Rouge Boys have the
schedule, the team, the coach, and the drive to make
a run for the coveted glass football trophy. The
Tigers have five away games, with the only tough one
being at Alabama. With a stellar defense and a
fantastic offense lead by Matt Flynn, the ground
supporting Tiger Stadium will be shaking non-stop
from August ‘till January as fans hope to storm
their way to New Orleans for the BCS title game. |
2. LSU
With tons of returning
talent and a favorable schedule, the Tigers are the
pick to win the Southeastern Conference and
challenge USC for the national championship. Rarely
do you find a team getting all its toughest
opponents at home, but LSU managed it. Virginia
Tech, Florida, Auburn and Arkansas all have to
travel to Death Valley. |
| 3. Texas
Would there life after
Vince Young? That was the biggest question on the
minds of the Longhorns entering the 2006 season.
Then the hot, hot, hot Colt McCoy showed up to play;
2,570 yards and 29 touchdowns later, the Texas Nation
feels great pride knowing they have another national
championship caliber team. There are some holes to
sure up on defense with only six returning starters,
and the defensive backs may be the weakness that
Oklahoma exploits to Hook them Horns for the first
time since 2004. If CB Chykie Brown and Deon Beasley
are able to play bigger than their experience shows,
the Longhorns can change their plane tickets from
Glendale to New Orleans. |
3. Michigan
This looks like the year
the Wolverines will beat Ohio State. And if that
happens, UM should be the Big Ten champ, provided
that Wisconsin doesn’t throw a monkey wrench into
things. The Wolverines don’t travel outside the
states of Michigan, Illinois or Wisconsin this
season.
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| 4. West
Virginia
2007 is a pivotal year for the Mountaineers and the
Big East. Riding last season’s momentum, West
Virginia will try and prove they were better than
their 11-2 record and non-BCS bowl berth. Rich
Rodriguez’ seventh team in Morgantown features 15
returning starters (seven offense, eight defense), a
schedule that plays host to Louisville on a chilly
Thursday night in November, and a decent quarterback
to lead the charge. WVU might have a hard time going
undefeated this season as a surprise gouging by the
USF Bulls. But, if they do make it through the
regular season unscathed, those precious BCS points
will be hard to come by if not for losses by other
teams in the Top 10. It's been done before for a
team from the Big East and this season may be a
repeat of 1999. |
4. West
Virginia
Hopefully this high ranking will get Mountaineers
fans off my back. I’m just going to stop reading
those emails from now on if you’ve got an email
address of “MorgantownFever” or “WVUrulez,” mmm kay?
But seriously, WVU is loaded and this could be the
year, as long as there’s not the usual slip-up in
Big East play again. |
| 5. Michigan
Chad Henne had a really
good year, passing for over 2500 yards and 22 TDs in
leading Michigan to an 11-2 season. The Wolverines,
however, are reeling after losing bad to USC in the
Rose Bowl and by three points to Ohio State in their
regular season finale. This team has lots of
starters to replace on defense, but early season
tests against Oregon, Notre Dame, and Penn State will
let us know early on if the Wolverines are for real. |
5. Florida
The Gators are probably
ranked too high here, but I never count out the
defending national champion. Florida appears to have
lost too much on defense to win another national
title, but hey, look at the bright side … at least
they won’t have to endure another visit to the Bush
White House. |
| 6. Oklahoma
Apart from two toss-up
games (Miami on Sept. 8 and Texas on Oct. 6), there is
no game Oklahoma should not win. With that said, the Sooners have 15 returning starters from a team that
went 11-3, but have a suspect offense behind
redshirt Freshman QB Sam Bradford and RB DeMarco
Murray. Adding some more trouble into the mix, the
fullback, Brody Eldridge, is only a sophomore. It is
a good thing, however, the offensive line has
experience and talent to match. Oklahoma will
challenge Texas for the Big 12 South crown and, as
usual, it will all come down to the game played at
the Texas state fair. |
6. Wisconsin
If there’s a team that I
think will derail Michigan’s Big Ten title hopes,
it’s the Badgers. In fact, I’d say Wisconsin has an
outside shot at winning it all this year thanks to
super soph P.J. Hill.
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| 7. Florida
State
Quick! What has Bobby Bowden been able to do
consistently since 1976?
He’s fielded teams that have beaten Virginia Tech by
an average score of 31.6 – 17.5. And that represents
the last 12 games. This season, however, that streak
will end as FSU travels to Blacksburg for the first
time since 1989. A rematch and revenge game will
happen on Dec. 1 as FSU will play Virginia Tech
for the ACC title game, a game which the Seminoles
will win their way to the Orange Bowl. |
7. California
It’s hard to remember
those pre-Jeff Tedford days when the Bears stunk.
Cal has loads of talent returning and a manageable
schedule, highlighted by home games with USC and
Tennessee. If things fall just right, the Bears’
Nov. 10 matchup with the Trojans could be the
biggest game in Berkeley ever. |
| 8. Hawaii
Mahalo, indeed! Colt
Brennan is back to thrill us all both on the field
and off. If Brennan can pass for over 5,500 yards and
produce another 58 TDs, the Heisman Trophy could
very well be his. There is not a game on Hawaii’s
schedule the Warriors cannot win and could very well
represent the WAC in the conference’s second ever
BCS game. |
8. Texas
Colt McCoy and Co. will
be strong again, and only a pesky TCU squad stands
in the way of an unbeaten September. I’m guessing a
10-2 regular season is in order for the Horns. |
| 9. Virginia
Tech For
Frank Beamer, it’s time to get the proverbial monkey
off his back. It’s time to win back-to-back-to-back
huge conference games. Nov. 1, his Hokies travel
to Atlanta to take on the Yellow Jackets, then play
host to Florida State followed up with Miami. That
is an incredible stretch, as the Hokies will likely
be 6-1 by then, with the one loss coming at the
hands of LSU in a very close defensive battle.
Quarterback play will need to improve over last
year’s abysmal performance by Sean Glennon (11 TDs
and 11 INTs) and any injury to Branden Ore will
spell disaster. |
9. Virginia
Tech The
September schedule is odd for the Hokies with four
games ranging from easy (North Carolina) to
ridiculously easy (Ohio University, William & Mary).
But mixed in there is a real dogfight … the Sept.
8 game at LSU. If the Hokies can pull that one off,
you’d better believe that my friend Richie will have
them skyrocket all the way to the top spot in his
weekly Dirty Dozen. |
| 10. South
Carolina
Under Steve Spurrier, the Gamecocks have won one
more game each year than in the previous year. That record
will likely continue as the Gamecocks are absolutely
loaded with talent on the defensive side of the ball
(10 returning starters) and have a solid offense (seven
returning starters) led by QB Blake Mitchell. Not
many people are giving the Gamecocks enough credit
this season, probably because they have three very
tough road games (Georgia, LSU, and Arkansas; they
should easily beat Tennessee). Nevertheless,
Spurrier will find ways to make his team win its
way to the SEC East title. |
10. Auburn
It will be another very
good, if not great, season for the Tigers, but don’t
be shocked if Nick Saban has Auburn fans irate when
Bama comes calling in the season finale and picks up
the win. |
| 11. Missouri
It’s time for the Tigers
to make some noise! Progressively getting better
since 2005, this year’s team features nine returning
offensive stars including RB Tony Temple (1063
yards, seven TDs) and WR William Franklin (829 yards,
six TDs, 17.3 ypc). Missouri will open 4-0 before having
Nebraska come to Columbia and then traveling to
Oklahoma. Split those games, and it’s likely the
Tigers will be playing Oklahoma or Texas for the Big
12 title. The OOC schedule is too weak for an
at-large BCS berth, but a trip to the Holiday or
Alamo bowl is not out of the question. This is Gary
Pinkel’s best team at Missouri. |
11. Ohio
State
Putting the Buckeyes in the No. 11 spot feels odd,
but few teams in the country lost more talent than
Ohio State. Can Jim Tressel pull off an incredible
coaching job and lead OSU to consecutive league
championships? It’s doubtful, especially with a
brutal schedule down the stretch, facing Wisconsin,
Penn State and Michigan in the season’s final month. |
| 12. Penn
State If
the Nittany Lions defense was a bit more
experienced, Penn State would definitely be a Top 10
team. As it stands now, however, Ohio State,
Michigan, and Notre Dame will be looking to take
advantage of weaknesses on the defensive line and in
the secondary. During the offseason, Anthony Morelli
was studying film and working on his QB play to
improve the 11-8 TD-INT ratio that kept PSU from
achieving greatness. This could be one of JoePa’s
finest teams since the mid-1990s. |
12. Hawaii
Did someone say ‘disco
nap’? Plan on them this season in order to stay up
and watch those late-night ESPN matchups from
Honolulu where Colt Brennan tries to work that
magic. The Warriors have the country’s best
quarterback who will light up the scoreboard and
stats sheet like no other. However, Hawaii may need
a ton of points because defense has never been June
Jones’ strong suit. |
| 13. UCLA
With 20 starters back,
Karl Dorrell’s team should easily find ways to win
its first 10 games of the season. The last two,
however, against Oregon and at USC, will either
place the Bruins in New Orleans for the BCS title
game, the Rose Bowl if only one victory is garnered,
or the Holiday bowl if both games are lost.
Regardless, if a 10-win season does not happen, it
will be a disappointment for the state school of
southern California. |
13. Rutgers
With Ray Rice leading
the way, look for the Scarlet Knights to be unbeaten
heading into the October 27 game against West
Virginia. Pulling off the win at home wouldn’t be a
major upset, and if it happens, Rutgers may be
looking at its first BCS bowl in history. The season
finale against Louisville looms huge, and speaking
of the Cardinals … |
| 14. Ohio
State This
is a reloading year for the Buckeyes. Gone are Troy
Smith, Antionio Pittman, and Ted Ginn. [Hopefully]
Gone is the memory of losing badly to Florida. But
that was last year’s news. This year has a favorable
schedule (OSU should start out 8-0 before traveling
to Happy Valley). The defense is headlined by the
Buckeye’s 2006 leading tackler and INT producer
James Laurinaitis. Jim Tressel has his work cut out
for him with trips to Penn State and Michigan late
in the season. |
14.
Louisville
The Big East was the ugly stepsister of college
football for years, but it’s fairly remarkable how
times have changed. For the second consecutive
season, the league will have three legitimate
national powers fighting for the league crown. Brian
Brohm remains one to watch for more than simply the
obvious reasons. |
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15. Louisville
Louisville is suffering
from the same affliction as West Virginia: a weak
out-of-conference schedule. With the ratings-busting
lineup of Murray State, Middle Tennessee, Kentucky,
NC State, and Utah, ESPN 360 is sure to have its
best season for viewership. It will be very hard to
take the Cardinals seriously this season as their
two tough games are at West Virginia and at USF.
Yes, UL will be ranked in the Top 25 all season, but
sorry Cardinal fans, enjoy the Continental Tire
Bowl. |
15. UCLA
The Bruins pulled off one of the biggest upsets of
2006 by defeating USC. The chances of it happening
again are slim, you never know. This year’s UCLA
team – on paper at least – seems to be improved over
last season. By Oct. 20, when Cal visits the Rose
Bowl, we’ll know if the Bruins are contenders or
pretenders. |
| 16. Florida
Ahhh, Florida. Your
Gators manage to go 13-1 last season, win the
national title, and yet do not get respect to begin
the 2007 season. With two starters returning on
defense and only six on offense, it’s amazing you’ll
be ranked in the Top 25 at all! So quit all your
complaining! Tim Tebow will need to prove he can be
an efficient passer instead of making things happen
with his feet. Someone will have to step up and be
the defensive leader on this team, otherwise it’ll
be a long season. There are six easy wins on the
schedule, so a bowl game is likely, the only
question is how good of a bowl will the Gators get
to enjoy. |
16. Boise
State Um,
hello?! Did someone forget that the Broncos have one
of the nation’s top rushers returning in Ian
Johnson? Boise State was much more than just the
Jared Zabransky show last year, and the return of
Johnson makes even the most powerful of opponents
fear the blue. The Broncos have won 39 of their last
40 WAC games (the only loss being at Fresno State
two years ago). BSU returns to Fresno on Oct. 26. |
| 17. Oregon
Every few years Mike
Bellotti’s team is able to put together a 10-win
season. This is another one of those years, even
with losses against USC and Michigan. The trip down
to UCLA on Nov. 24 will decide between those teams
which one is Holiday Bowl bound and which is
destined for the Sun Bowl. Dennis Dixon will need to
throw more TDs than INTs this year (12 and 14 last
year, respectively), but with his favorite receivers
Jaison Williams and Brian Paysinger returning, it
should be easy to improve those numbers. And will
someone, please, do something about those uniforms!
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17. Penn
State I
would have bet money on Anna Nicole Smith outliving
Joe Paterno. Who knew?! Anyway, JoePa continues
merrily along with what could be one of his better
teams. Penn State will likely be in the Big Ten
chase for most of the year and could be in line for
a 10-win season. But, come on, a non-conference
schedule that includes Florida International,
Buffalo and Temple? Wow. |
| 18. Miami, FL
The Hurricanes deserve
more love than people are giving them this season.
There are 16 starters returning from last year’s 7-6
team, all of whom are itching to prove they are a
Top 15 team. The schedule is murderous with away
games at Oklahoma, North Carolina (under Butch
Davis’ purview), Florida State, Virginia Tech, and
Boston College, but it is manageable. The Canes
won’t win all those games, but with most of the same
defense that gave up only 256 ypg and 15.5 ppg, the
offense will just need to click enough at the right
times to support that defense and the winds of
change will be fiercely blowing out of South Florida
once again. |
18. TCU
The Horned Frogs have
created a nice niche for themselves down in Fort
Worth, but does anyone care? Their stadium often
looks like a ghost town despite the fact this team
is one of the best defensive squads in the country.
I guess there’s your answer. Defense may win games
but it doesn’t draw crowds. I think TCU has a decent
shot at upsetting Texas in Austin. |
| 19. Alabama
Is this Bama’s year?
Nick Saban is the new head coach, is richly paid,
and is expected to produce SEC titles for the
Crimson Tide. Saban brings with him a national title
(2003-LSU) and two years of NFL coaching experience.
Working the offense for Saban is JR QB John Parker
Wilson along with eight other returning starters. Things
look good for scoring lots of points and racking up
the big yards against opponents. The defense,
however, is suspect with only five returning starters
that allowed over 19 points per game, 4.0 yards per
carry, and 15.5 yards per pass. If Bama is to
challenge the favored LSU Tigers for the SEC West
title, the defense will need to step it up a notch.
A big notch. |
19. Arkansas
Darren McFadden returns
and so do the hopes of Arkansas fans for an
outstanding season. After the Razorbacks were
throttled 50-14 by USC at the start of last year, I
had my doubts, but things quickly turned around with
10 straight wins. Arkansas seems unlikely to win the
SEC West again though. |
| 20. Georgia
Each preseason it seems
like this is going to be the year for the Bulldogs.
As each season progresses, Georgia finds a way to
disappoint and never really rising out of the ranks
of good teams to that of the national championship
ones. This season looks to be another ‘great year’
for the Bulldogs as they have a difficult, but
manageable, schedule and return seven starters on both
sides of the ball. The problem, though, is with
their starting quarterback stud Matthew Stafford.
Georgia’s #7 last year threw for seven TDs, 13 INTs, and
managed only 1,940 total yards. Yes, he was only a
freshman, but that’s no excuse and those numbers
will have to improve, as the defense lost a lot of
players to graduation and the NFL. |
20. Texas A&M
Five of the first six
games are at home, and all appear winnable. Stephen
McGee is back and should have a stellar year. If A&M
can somehow pick up a win or two in the close games
this time around, it could be a remarkable season.
The Aggies’ three regular-season losses a year ago
were by a combined 6 points. |
| 21. Tennessee
The Vols vaunted from a
losing season in 2005 to a good season in 2006
(9-4). What does 2007 have in store? How about six
easy wins and six hard fought games that’s sure to
keep the Volunteer nation biting many fingernails.
Opening up September at California and playing at
Florida two weeks later is going to be tough, but
ending with home games against Louisiana-Lafayette,
Arkansas, and Vanderbilt before traveling to
Kentucky for the season ender should make things
easier for the faithful. A second straight bowl game
is quite possible. QB Erik Ainge will steal most the
headlines as he passes for over 25 TDs and 3500
yards. |
21. Florida
State OK,
so this is actually more of a courtesy pick for my
good friend Glenn, the world’s biggest FSU fan. I
think the Noles are a borderline Top 25 outfit at
best but at least this pick keeps me in his good
graces. With road games at Florida, Virginia Tech,
Boston College and Clemson, Bobby Bowden’s will need
to be improved over last year’s mediocre bunch. |
| 22. Nebraska
Bill Callahan spent the
past four years developing his Cornhusker offense.
Zac Taylor passed for just under 3200 yards and 26
TDs last year. Now it’s Joe Ganz and Sam Keller’s
turn. Keller will likely be the starting QB after
sitting out a year and transferring from Arizona
State. When pass plays aren’t working, Marlon Lucky
will pick up the slack and should rush the ball for
over 1000 yards this season. The defensive secondary
is the weak point in this Cornhusker team.
Nebraska’s string of consecutive bowl games will
continue despite another year without the Big 12
title. |
22. Tennessee
A lot of preseason polls
have the Vols rated higher but I just don’t see it.
There’s a chance to prove me wrong early with the
opener at Cal. |
| 23.
University of South Florida
The Bulls from Tampa are
poised to make a splash in the kiddie pool known as
the Big East. With only two Big East title
contenders allowed to swim in the deep end
(Louisville & West Virginia), the Bulls are standing
on the end of the diving board ready to drop a big,
fat cannonball. Jim Leavitt’s team returns 16
starters, nine of which are on offense, lead by QB
Matt Grothe (2576 yards, 15 TD, 14 INTs). Don’t let
those numbers fool you as Grothe is only a
sophomore. Both West Virginia and Louisville play in
Tampa this season and the trip up to Rutgers happens
before the weather turns sour. Nine wins are
certainly possible as is a victory over Auburn, West
Virginia, or Louisville. |
23. Boston
College
Matt Ryan is one of the lesser publicized QBs in the
country it seems, despite the fact he’s got some
big-time skills. The Eagles are my pick to face
Virginia Tech in the ACC championship game. |
| 24. TCU
Since 2005, Gary
Patterson’s Horned Frogs have been putting together
11 win seasons. This year that number might go up to
12 as all but the game against Texas are easily
winnable. QB Marcus Jackson will need to step up
quickly and fill the shoes of the departed Jeff
Ballard. Fortunately RB Aaron Brown (801 yards, nine TDs) will be able to carry the load when needed. The
defense is stacked with 9 returning starters from a
team that allowed 2.2 yards per carry last year! The
secondary should be better than the 19.1 yards per
pass that was given up last year. Despite having
only one loss likely, TCU’s schedule is on the weak
side and will be passed over when it comes to the
BCS team selections. |
24. Nebraska
One of the season’s most
anticipated games has to be Sept. 15 when USC
travels to Lincoln. You can count on an amazing
atmosphere with a lot on the line for both teams.
This is the type of win Nebraska needs if it truly
wants to tell the college football world that it is
still a force to be reckoned with on the national
stage. |
| 25. Auburn
Auburn has one of the
more difficult schedules this season, having to
travel to Florida, Arkansas, LSU, and Georgia. The
out-of-conference schedule is much better with only a tough
game at home against the USF Bulls. Tommy
Tuberville’s 11-2 record last year was amazing,
especially when you look at QB Brandon Cox’s numbers
(2,198 yards, 14 TDs, nine INTs, 177 rushing) and
realize that not a single one of his RBs produced
over 1,000 yards on the ground for the season. (The
heralded Kenny Irons had only 893 yards and four TDs.)
Less than half the offensive starters are returning,
so it will be up to the defense to keep the games
close. Auburn will continue its stretch of
consecutive bowl games, but it’s unlikely to be a
New Years Day bowl for these Tigers. |
25. Oregon
Dennis Dixon is one of
the more exciting quarterbacks I’ve seen play in
person. I wouldn’t be surprised if Oregon has one of
its better seasons in recent years, if only because
the expectations seem to be a bit lower than usual.
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