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How We Saw Week 15
Related: NFL Discussion Board

 
Cyd's Comments
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Jim's Comments
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“So what did you think of the Padres beating the Colts?”

That was the question a good friend of mine asked tonight at dinner in Chelsea. I had to chuckle. It was a good effort.

I Hate the Colts again

Why did I put my faith in a bunch of pansies who play in a dome? When drafting my fantasy football team in September, I didn’t just pick one Colt, but two, in the first three rounds – Edgerrin James and Marvin Harrison. It worked fine for the first 14 weeks. But, I forgot the most important aspect of the Colts: the bigger the game, the worse they play.

Just like the Colts year in and year out, they choked again in their biggest game of the year, and Edgerrin James led the way with this lousy comment after the game that Jim sent me:

"It really didn't matter. Nobody was really talking about no streak. I think more people will be disappointed that we have to go to work tomorrow. They didn't care about the streak. Now we've got to show up."

That’s funny, because I saw Peyton Manning on ESPN before the game talking about the streak. I don’t know if Edge was bitter or just out of touch with his teammates. Either way, I’ve got to remember to trade these chokers next year before I get stuck with them in the fantasy playoffs. 

Put Favre out to Pasture

Why are so many people saying that Brett Favre should be the one to decide if he doesn’t start these last two games for Green Bay? It’s all fine and dandy that he’s had a remarkable career. He’s been good for the Packers, bringing them a Super Bowl championship and coming within a touchdown of winning a second one. But this nonsense that he should be the one to decide if he or Aaron Rodgers starts these next two games is ridiculous.

Rodgers was drafted in the first round this past April to take over when Brett Favre no longer served a purpose. With just two games left, it’s time for Rodgers to get some much-needed experience while Brett “Ballhog” Favre spends time with his wife and kids over the holidays.

What’s more, Rodgers probably gives the Packers a better chance of losing. That’s a good thing. Right now, the Pack is battling Houston, San Francisco, the Jets and New Orleans for a top pick in next year’s draft. With some real studs expected to be available in April, the Packers could pick up a gamebreaker if they can just lose these last two games.

The Packers should be looking to the future – Aaron Rodgers and a #1 draft pick – and not to the past when deciding who’s going to start these last two games of the season.

I couldn’t have called it better

I said last week to anyone that would listen that the Patriots would destroy the Bucs and that all the chatter would start brewing about a Pats-Colts playoff matchup. It’s one of the few things I’ve gotten right this year.

You can understand why the media is jumping all over this one. With the Colts chocking, they just lost the storyline they’ve been riding for the last few weeks. Now they need something to fuel the run into January. And it doesn’t get better than Indy-New England.

I wouldn’t try to predict that potential game from four to five weeks out (which is how far away it is). And it might not happen at all. The Patriots aren’t the Pats of old. They’ve lost to two good teams at home already this season; the Jaguars are just the kind of unpredictable team that could go into Foxboro and beat them.

Win or lose, that game simply happening would make my season. And if the Patriots somehow won – well, that would just be the most glorious occurance in the NFL since Jeremy Shockey dropped a touchdown pass against the 49ers in the 2002-season playoffs.

Tiki for MVP-Runner-Up

Yep, that’s right. Tiki. The guy that trails only Shaun Alexander in rushing yards has got to be the odds-on favorite to finish second in the MVP voting. Yes, Peyton Manning and Edgerrin James and Tom Brady and Steve Smith have had fine seasons. But I don’t think any of them have carried their team on their backs the way Tiki has (except Alexander).

His total touchdowns are low, but that’s simply because the Giants have Brandon Jacobs getting the ball within the two-yard line. When quarterback Eli Manning or the defense have floundered, Barber has been there to pick up the slack. And the fumbles that plagued him two years ago? This year, he has only one in 14 games.

My Rankings as of Jan. 2

1) Seattle – They’ve got the league’s longest winning streak, will probably beat the #2 team next week and look like the class of the NFC. Heck, if they were in the AFC, they might even make the playoffs!

2) Cincinnati – The only thing that stands between them and the AFC Championship game are the Pittsburgh Steelers.

3) Indianapolis – Their defense looks tired. Their running back looks tired. These are two bad things.

4) New England – They now have two bye weeks to prepare for their first-round home game. You give Bill Belichick two extra weeks to prepare his team and that spells trouble. I just hope he doesn’t spend too much of it preparing for Indy.

5) I could throw Denver or the Giants here. But, I’m not gonna.

 

--So much for the streak. The San Diego Chargers’ 26-17 win over the Indianapolis Colts gave the Colts their first loss after 13 wins and ended what had become a media obsession. 

ESPN devoted the first 20 minutes of its 30-minute 7 p.m. EST SportsCenter to the game. It featured a press conference with Don Shula and Bob Griese from the undefeated 1972 Miami Dolphins. A press conference?

We heard Shula say that he and Griese toasted each other with Diet Coke after the Chargers won. Too much information. It wasn’t as bad as ESPN’s obsession with Terrell Owens, but the Colts streak was getting way overplayed. 

--What does the loss mean? Not that much, actually. The Colts still have home field advantage and will be the favorite to win the AFC. And the Chargers need to win their last two games (at Kansas City and home to Denver) and hope the Pittsburgh Steelers or Jacksonville Jaguars lose once. The Steelers play at 5-9 Cleveland, then 4-10 Detroit. The Jaguars draw 2-12 Houston and 4-10 Tennessee. The Chargers are in trouble.

There are only two teams I think the Colts would worry about in the AFC playoffs. One is, obviously, the Chargers, but I don’t see them making the playoffs. The other is the New England Patriots, who have owned the Colts in the playoffs the last two seasons. A Colts-Pats playoff game would be indoors, not in frosty New England, but right now I would rate the game a toss-up; another playoff loss to the Pats and the Colts might as well fold up the franchise since they will likely never have a better chance. 

--The Colts came out Sunday sleepwalking and fell behind 16-0 before making a rally to take a 17-16 win, only to see the Chargers score twice in the final 6:41 to win. Colts QB Peyton Manning committed two key gaffes that helped doom the Colts. 

The first came in the first half on fourth-and-goal at the Chargers’ 1. Manning decided not to handoff and instead bootlegged. Manning’s no Michael Vick and he lost six yards. 

The second came with 3:21 remaining and the Colts facing a second-and-1 at the Chargers’ 23, down 19-17, well within field goal range. Manning went back to pass, was pressured and threw the ball away. He was correctly flagged for intentional grounding, which was a 12-yard penalty and loss of down. He was sacked on third down and any hope of a long field goal try was negated. It was the closest the Colts would get again to winning the game. 

--The key stats were Manning throwing a season-high 45 times, while Edgerrin James got only 24 yards on 15 carries. Despite his reputation as a gunslinger, Manning is more effective if he has a running game and defenses can’t load up on the pass. 

--The loss leaves the 1972 Dolphins as the only team to go undefeated. Some of those Fins have come across as bitter old men, rooting shamelessly each year for the last unbeaten to fall. So it was nice to read what Mercury Morris (a great running back from that team) had to say after the Colts lost, simply because it went against the grain. “A part of me … wanted to see [the Colts] win them all. If they had been able to go undefeated, then we could have someone to talk to who would understand the experience. That’s the biggest thing. It’s like trying to describe to someone what it’s like to walk on the moon. It’s only a description; they’ll never know until they go.’’ 

--The Chargers continued to be a baffling team. How could a team that did not sack Miami’s Gus Ferrotte a week ago get to Manning four times and hit him countless more times? This is the same team that destroyed the Patriots in New England and lost to the Eagles on a blocked field goal returned for a touchdown. If the Chargers fail to make the playoffs, they can only blame themselves. Despite the attention they received after ending the Colts’ streak, the Chargers would have been much better off beating Pittsburgh in Week 5 and losing to Indy, because the Bolts would now own the tiebreaker over the Steelers. 

--Another weird team is the Jacksonville Jaguars, who were lucky to eke out a 10-9 home win against the San Francisco 49ers. The 10-4 Jags are a near playoff lock and it looks like they’ll play the Patriots in the wild card round. Jacksonville seems to play up or down to the level of its opponent, so it’s not inconceivable that they could beat the Patriots. 

--Hottest player I saw all week was Buffalo Bills punter Brian Moorman. He is one of the top punters despite playing in windy Buffalo and is one of the few bright spots for a 4-10 team. He also seems like a terrific person. “Moorman has helped build a house in Buffalo through Habitat for Humanity, served Thanksgiving dinners to the homeless, taken part in literacy programs and raised funds to assist families of cancer patients,” wrote the Rochester Democrat.

Moorman visits young cancer patients each week at a Buffalo area hospital. One of them is 10-year-old Taylor Speth, who said: "The neatest gift Mr. Brian ever gave me was his friendship. And he is one of the best friends a person could ever have." Said Moorman: "I could boom a punt 90 yards and it wouldn't mean as much to me as comments like that."

--The least-surprising result was Pittsburgh’s 18-3 win at Minnesota. The Vikings had won six in a row but did it with mirrors against the Giants and by beating the awful Lions twice, along with St. Louis, Green Bay and Cleveland. It’s probably good for the Vikings long-term if they miss the playoffs. This way, they can dump coach Mike Tice and get some competence on the sideline.

--I enjoy seeing what games CBS assigns Don Criqui to late in the season, since he’s on the F Team of their broadcasters. The producers must cackle each week and say, “What dog can we send Criqui to this week?” On Sunday it was the 4-9 Cleveland Browns at the 4-9 Oakland Raiders and the game didn’t disappoint. The Browns won 9-7 on a last-play field goal, yet that didn’t stop Criqui from enthusing about how hard both teams played (always a sure sign you’re watching losers).

I did like watching Browns rookie QB Charlie Frye, who has the look of a Ben Roethlisberger. The Browns may have found themselves a quarterback as they rebuild.

Yes, I know you're wondering what was I doing watching the Browns-Raiders? The other late games (Bengals-Lions and Cowboys-Redskins) were blowouts and it was on in the background as I made some delicious vegetable pea soup.

--It shows how far the Cincinnati Bengals have come when they win their division for the first time in 15 years (something both Cyd and I predicted in the preseason) and it’s pretty much greeted with a yawn. I know beating the Lions elicits a shrug, but before this year the Bengals hadn't had a winning record since 1990.

 I don’t think the Bengals have the defense to win the Super Bowl this year, but they will be a contender for the next few years with a great coach in Marvin Lewis and wonderful skill players, led by QB Carson Palmer.

--The 9-5 Patriots are a very lucky team this season. If they were in any other division, they would be in second place and fighting just to get a wild card spot with zero prospects for a home playoff game. In the lousy AFC East, though, the Pats are kings and basically get three weeks off to get healthy before hosting a first-round playoff game. Everything is breaking just right for them.

--Billy Witz, the NFL writer for the Los Angeles Daily News, is not sold on the Patriots staging much of a playoff run. He wrote me: "The Pats' five wins in six games have come against the following QBs -- Gus Frerotte, Aaron Brooks, Brooks Bollinger, J.P. Losman and Chris Simms, who before this weekend were rated 27, 28, 31, 32 and 18 respectively in passing efficiency."

--The New York Giants are blessed they have Tiki Barber carrying their offense right now because Eli Manning seems to get shakier each week.

--So much for parity. After 14 games, there is only one 7-7 team (Miami). Thirteen teams are guaranteed to have losing records, while 17 teams could win 10 games or more. The NFL in 2005 is the rich and the poor with a shrinking middle class, kind of like Brazil.

--I give up trying to handicap the NFC. Seattle has home field in its sights and will be tough to beat at their place, but after that it’s a scramble. I was shocked by how easily the Redskins crushed the Cowboys, and it’s amazing that the Skins (5-6 after 11 games) are in the playoffs if they win their final two games.

--Game of the year, in one sense, could take place in Week 17, when it could be 2-13 Houston at 2-13 San Francisco. Loser gets Reggie Bush in next year’s draft.

--Can't believe how badly some teams tackle. The prize for ineptitude is shared this week by Kansas City and Dallas (have Tiki Barber or Chris Cooley been tackled yet?) These teams whiffed more than Sammy Sosa.

My Top 5

1. Indianapolis (13-1): Peyton Manning has been sacked seven times in the last two weeks after only going down nine times in the first 12 games.

2. Seattle (12-2): They aren’t always impressive, but they just keep winning.

3. Cincinnati (11-3): These cats have finally grown claws.

4. Denver (11-3): Getting the No. 2 seed is vital for their chances in the playoffs.

5. San Diego (9-5): Too little, too late. 


 

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