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Beneath the surface
Can anyone beat Nadal at the French Open?

By Wyman Meers
Outsports.com

The French Open, professional tennis’s second of four major championships, is set to begin at Stade Roland Garros in Paris, France.  The spring tennis season is contested on clay courts, resulting in longer rallies that favor a counter-punching or aggressive baseline style.  The culmination of this arc in the tennis year comes on the French Open’s slow red clay; the toughest, most prestigious clay event in the world undoubtedly tests the patience, endurance, strength, and strategy of the game’s very best players.

Therefore, the trials inherent to playing on clay inevitably becomes as much of a story as the combatants themselves.  In Paris, the surface is as much a story as the scoreboard.  So challenging is the red dirt, in fact, that a host of tennis legends have been unable to conquer it.  Countless greats suffered heartache under mounting pressure to win the French Open, crushed by expectations as heavy as the force that pulverizes brick into the orange-red powder beneath their feet.  

Yet for all those who have suffered on the red clay, there is nonetheless a legion of players who enjoy their greatest success on the dirt.  More so than any other surface, the red clay encourages a specialized mastery that makes otherwise average players extremely dangerous, all the while transforming elites who understand its intricacies into indomitable forces.   

Yes, over the next two weeks in Paris, much will be written and said about the clay underfoot.  Its challenge is one player’s detriment and another player’s decided advantage. For all the drama the surface provides, however, the real intrigue at this year’s French Open lies within a different rouge; one perhaps less obvious but no less crucial to success.  The real intrigue will unfold in the players’ hearts.  In a city of romance such as Paris, there is truly no other way. 

Roger Federer: A Heart Unrequited 

Is there any heart more motivated than that of the lover daunted?  

The latest in the long line of champions whose glory turns to frustration in Paris is Roger Federer. The undisputed world number one has collected ten major championships from the last fifteen Grand Slam events he’s played, but Roger has gone 0-8 at Roland Garros.  Federer is four Slam titles shy of tying the record for most majors that is currently held by Pete Sampras, a player who also famously failed to win the French Open.  Roger Federer is more equipped to win on the dirt that his predecessor, however, and is hungry to complete a career Slam in capturing the only illustrious title to elude him.  As if that weren’t pressure enough, Roland Garros is also the biggest stumbling block in Federer’s quest to win a calendar year Grand Slam. 

There is no doubt that Federer wants it.  The typically stoic Swiss is open in press conferences about his goal to win in Paris, yet in recent months he has endured his worst slump since obtaining the number one ranking just over three years ago.  He has suffered surprising defeats, such as back-to-back losses to resurgent Argentine Guillermo Canas on hard courts or his uninspired, routine fall to unheralded Italian Fillipo Volandri on the red clay of Rome.  With the frustration mounting and Paris inching ever closer, Federer made the drastic decision to part ways with his coach and enters Roland Garros on his own terms.  A warrior battling alone, racquet by his side and his heart pounding in his chest, Federer will hope to fell the competition in classic style.  And there is reason to believe, thanks to a last-minute triumph on clay at the prestigious Masters Series event in Hamburg, Germany.  Federer’s demeanor in taking that title was even more forthright that his pressroom admissions.  The victory was a statement that he is still to be feared and more than capable of winning the French Open.  A bold proclamation, but one made stronger by the opponent he vanquished to earn that title: the world number two and his chief rival, Rafael Nadal, who went into the final with a record 81 consecutive clay-court match win streak before succumbing to Federer 0-6 in the deciding set. 

Fate has not been kind to Federer, however, as his path to the title includes some very dangerous potential opponents: former French Open champion Juan Carlos Ferrero; former number one Marat Safin; capable Russian Mikhail Youzny; top-ten ranked Spaniard Tommy Robredo; and the aforementioned Volandri all inhabit Federer’s quarter of the draw.  Should Roger manage to advance to the semifinals, he could face fourth-seeded Nikolay Davydenko; talented and overdue French hope Richard Gasquet; Australian Open runner-up Fernando Gonzalez; or the troublesome Canas. 

Rafael Nadal: A Heart Unquestioned 

Is there any heart surer than one proven true? 

Two-time defending French Open champion Rafael Nadal is the most physically punishing player in the game and one loss to Federer will not temper his confidence.  His clay court prowess remains unmatched.  Moreover, Nadal is not stagnant.  His game is improving, becoming even more ferocious and all-court aggressive as he uses his endurance and strength – the pillars of a masterful clay-court game – as foundation for a relentless attack from all points on the court.  

After suffering a dismal season following last year’s surprise run to the Wimbledon final, a return to clay could not come soon enough for Nadal.  He has taken every advantage, restoring the aura and fear factor that surrounds the unenviable task of competing against him.  His energy on court is boundless as he pumps his fist in triumph like an intensely measured heartbeat.  Every step and stroke Nadal takes on court is raw, oxygenated, and pounding.  He will not give up his double crown in Paris to anything less than a Herculean effort capable of matching his own nearly impossibly high standards.  And it seems there are few hurdles standing in his way, although a seemingly favorable draw on paper does include a few potential spoilers.  Little known Argentine Juan Martin del Potro is not a cakewalk in the first round, while Australian Lleyton Hewitt has shown recent signs of a return to form and Czech powerhouse Tomas Berdych has proven difficult for Nadal in the past. 

Scattered Hearts 

Although the Federer-Nadal rivalry will take key focus as the rounds progress in Paris, a litany of dangerous players are keen on breaking up the Federer/Nadal mutual admiration society. Skyrocketing teenager Novak Djokovic is the most likely candidate.  Currently ranked sixth in the world, Djokovic is the de facto world number three and he plays with the fearlessness of youth.  Clay is not his best surface, but Djokovic did take a warm-up title in Estoril on the strength of his all-court fluidity.   

Former champions in the draw include not only Ferrero, but also Spain’s Carlos Moya and Argentina’s Gaston Gaudio.  These players are not much of a threat to return to the winner’s circle, but they have tasted glory on the red clay before and could be dangerous opponents for unsuspecting contenders.  A host of clay-court specialists will also lie in wait for vulnerable top-ranked players, such as Nicolas Amalgro of Spain or Argentina’s Jose Acasuso and Juan Ignacio Chela.  

 Justine Henin: A Heart Broken 

Is there any heart more prepared than one freshly healed? 

Women’s tennis is in yet another state of transition, where younger players have not yet found a way to factor into events consistently while veterans fight injuries and ennui.  Current world number one Justine Henin has won three of the last four titles in Paris, yet she comes into the event with an aura of being number one by default.  She is certainly the most consistent performer when she does compete, but health scares curtail her training and lately she has been known to run out of steam in the latter stages of events.   

Regardless, Henin possesses the most potent combination of footwork, power, and court-savvy flair in the women’s game and can render opponents to spectator status on clay.   As the women’s game continues to evolve towards greater but wildly unharnessed power, few players can control their mighty strokes on the slow surface. This affords Henin repeated opportunities to exploit their go-for-broke style.  Nowhere is she more of a threat to win than in the City of Lights. 

 

Henin will also be looking to mend personal disappointment through professional accomplishment, as she was forced to skip the year’s first major while suffering through the dissolution of a four-year marriage.  Emotional hardship sometimes drives a player like Henin to greater heights and she will be tough to beat, although she had the misfortune to share her quarter of the draw with the woman who many believe has the best chance of dethroning Henin: resurgent Australian Open champion Serena Williams. 

Serena Williams: A Heart Exposed 

Is there any heart more powerful than the one ripped open? 

Few have been able to even compete with Henin on dirt in recent years, but the fearless Williams is one powerful slugger capable of legitimately testing the diminutive Belgian No. 1.  Slowed by family crisis and injury in recent years, Williams has returned to tennis with a vengeance and looks to burn through the draw in Paris with the same rapid fire destruction that brought her an eighth major title in Oz earlier this year. 

Serena Williams has taken knocks for her passions and been maligned for the very heart that has won her an abundance of tennis titles, because it is also a heart that needs sources of inspiration beyond the game. Her detractors see Serena’s outside interests as a distraction to her focus, even though the reprieve they provide may very well preserve Serena’s interest in the sport in the long run.  Nonetheless, what is most important is that hearts always return to their first true love and – for now – Serena Williams is back and faces few challenges until her potential quarterfinal showdown with Henin.  

Scattered Hearts 

With co-favorites Henin and Williams occupying the same section of the women’s draw, three semifinal spots are wide open and an array of players have been given the opportunity to make their mark on this year’s French Open.  Serbia’s Jelena Jankovic has steadily improved and comes into Paris ranked a career-high number four after her win at the warm-up event in Rome; a confident Ana Ivanovic has cracked the top ten and also won a warm-event coming into the French Open, hers in Berlin; last year’s runner-up and former US Open champion Svetlana Kuznetsova is quietly playing excellent tennis; and teen sensation Nicole Vaidisova would love to improve upon her success in Paris from a year ago, where she made the semifinals.   Venus Williams could be dangerous if she plays her way into form, but faces a tough task in a potential match against Jankovic in the third round.  Former champion Anastasia Myskina could easily go out in the first round, and French hope Amelie Mauresmo is always vulnerable when facing the pressure of doing well on her home soil.  Worse still, Mauresmo’s section of the draw is fraught with danger in the form of up-and-coming players Lucie Safarova – the woman who stopped Mauresmo in Australia – and Russian Anna Chakvedatze. 

Federer, Nadal, Henin, and Williams each have something to prove.  Such hearts are willing to spill blood for their cause, ever at risk for a loss at love. These champions will be no exception. They are the four most likely players to emerge dirt-stained and victorious after two weeks of grueling competition in Paris; however, at no time are results less predictable than at the French Open.  The season leading up to the battle at Roland Garros has been colored by surprising and intriguing developments that promise excitement both on and off the court.  The red clay is certainly a considerable factor in match results, but personal histories and subplots will make this year’s French Open all the more dramatic as each player prepare to lay his or her heart upon the line. 

Predictions 

Women’s Semis: Jankovic d. Henin, Kuznetsova d. Chakvedatze
Women’s Final: Kuznetsova d. Jankovic

Men’s Semis: Federer d. Gasquet, Nadal d. Ferrer
Men’s Final: Federer d. Nadal 

Wyman Meers is a writer living in New York. He is Gaga4Gaby on the Outsports Discussion Board.